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多部门动态模型与“十一·五”规划指标预测
引用本文:孙丹,冯文斌.多部门动态模型与“十一·五”规划指标预测[J].价值工程,2005,24(12):6-9.
作者姓名:孙丹  冯文斌
作者单位:河北省经济信息中心,石家庄,050051
摘    要:本文简要介绍了河北省的宏观经济多部门动态模型,并利用模型对河北省“十一·五”规划中的宏观指标进行了测算和分析,拟定了关于投资增速的高中低三个方案,分别预测出“十一·五”规划期间河北省宏观经济指标可能达到的目标数据,为决策者提供了比较科学的政策建议。

关 键 词:经济预测  多部门动态模型“  十一·五”规划
文章编号:1006-4311(2005)12-0006-04

Multi-Sectoral Dynamic Model and Forecast of the Eleventh Five-Year Plan Indicators
Sun Dan,Feng Wenbin.Multi-Sectoral Dynamic Model and Forecast of the Eleventh Five-Year Plan Indicators[J].Value Engineering,2005,24(12):6-9.
Authors:Sun Dan  Feng Wenbin
Abstract:In this paper,we introduce the hebei's macro-economic multi-sectoral dynamic model . Using this model , we forecast and analysis hebei's macro-economic indicators of the eleventh five-year plan , and draw up three schemes (High , moddle and low)about increase speed of investment , then we forecast the hebei's macro economic data respectively during the eleventh five-year plan period , which can provide some science suggestion for decision maker .
Keywords:economic forecast  multi sectoral dynamic model  the eleventh five-year plan
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