| 我国经济与物价的中长期发展前景 |
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| 引用本文： | 余斌,李建伟.我国经济与物价的中长期发展前景[J].经济与管理研究,2011(10). |
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| 作者姓名： | 余斌 李建伟 |
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| 作者单位： | 国务院发展研究中心宏观部;国务院发展研究中心社会发展研究部; |
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| 摘 要： | 在国内宏观调控政策保持相对稳定、美欧日经济平稳增长的情况下,2011年我国经济增速将回调到9.7%左右,2012～2015年将保持10%左右的较快增长状态。2011年和2012年我国通货膨胀压力较大,CPI涨幅将超过5%。2012年以后食品价格和CPI涨幅趋于下降,但非食品价格仍将保持较快上涨态势,内在通胀压力依然存在。可通过适度控制交易性货币供给增速和工资上涨幅度、加大人民币升值幅度等措施缓解物价上涨压力,但需要处理好抑制物价上涨和稳定经济增长的关系。
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| 关 键 词： | 经济增长 通货膨胀 发展趋势 预测 |
The Middle-long Term Development Trends of China Economy and Price |
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| YU Bin,LI Jian-wei.The Middle-long Term Development Trends of China Economy and Price[J].Research on Economics and Management,2011(10). |
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| Authors: | YU Bin LI Jian-wei |
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| Institution: | YU Bin,LI Jian-wei (Development and Research Center of the State Council,Beijing 100010) |
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| Abstract: | According to supposed conditions that China's macro - economic policies keep on stability and American as well EU and Japanese economic growth rates keep on stable level,China's GDP growth rate will reach to 9.7%in 2011, and the average speed is about 10%during 2012 to 2015.The inflation pressure is large and CPI is more than 5%in 2011 and 2012.The food price and CPI will decrease after 2012,but the non - food price will keep on high level,China's inter inflation pressure still exists in the future.Central ... |
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| Keywords: | Economic Growth Rate Inflation Development Trend Forcast |
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