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论物流园区投资项目的财务评价和风险分析
引用本文:陈秀东,张璐,吕安琪,杨穗君.论物流园区投资项目的财务评价和风险分析[J].物流技术,2011(23):4-7,13.
作者姓名:陈秀东  张璐  吕安琪  杨穗君
作者单位:交通运输部公路科学研究院;
摘    要:根据财务评价依据,选取财务评价参数,在拟定评价时间和收费标准的基础上,估算拟建物流园区的各项业务收入、各项成本数额,计算出拟建项目的财务内部收益率、财务净现值、投资回收期等主要财务效益指标,并与规定的财务指标比较,进一步判别拟建项目的财务可行性;在此基础上,通过对业务风险、预测风险、物价上涨等几个主要风险因素进行风险分析,计算项目风险发生的概率,并提出防范风险的措施。以财务评价、风险分析结论作为投资项目建设的重要依据。

关 键 词:物流园区  财务评价  效益指标  风险分析  风险概率

Financial Evaluation and Risk Analysis for Investments in Logistics Park Projects
CHEN Xiu-dong,ZHANG Lu,LV An-qi,YANG Sui-jun.Financial Evaluation and Risk Analysis for Investments in Logistics Park Projects[J].Logistics Technology,2011(23):4-7,13.
Authors:CHEN Xiu-dong  ZHANG Lu  LV An-qi  YANG Sui-jun
Institution:CHEN Xiu-dong,ZHANG Lu,LV An-qi,YANG Sui-jun(MOT Institute of Highway Science,Beijing 100088,China)
Abstract:Based on an analysis of the financial factors,the paper selects the suitable financial evaluation parameters,estimates the returns and costs of the various business of the proposed logistics park to be contructed,calculates its internal return rate,net present value,investment payback period and other major financial benefit indices and compares them to the prescribed ones to judge the financial feasibility of the proposed project.On this basis,analysis of operational risk,forecasting risk and risk of risin...
Keywords:logistics park  financial evaluation  benefit index  risk analysis  risk probability  
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