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全球价值链分工对国际经济周期协同性的影响研究
引用本文:张支南,浦正宁,李明.全球价值链分工对国际经济周期协同性的影响研究[J].技术经济,2020,39(5):116-124.
作者姓名:张支南  浦正宁  李明
作者单位:中国社会科学院 世界经济与政治研究所,北京100732;东南大学 经济管理学院,南京211189;重庆农村商业银行股份有限公司,重庆400023
基金项目:2018年度江苏省社科基金重大项目“双向开放与江苏开放型经济高质量发展”(项目编号:18ZD005),2019年度中央高校基本业务费项目“大数据方法与宏观经济运行预警体系研究”(项目编号:2242019S20017)资助。
摘    要:为考察全球价值链分工的宏观经济效应,本文基于2000—2014年全球102个经济体相关数据,探究了全球价值链贸易对国际经济周期协同性的影响。结果表明,全球价值链贸易深化了国际垂直型分工,显著提升了国际经济周期的协同性;无论是制造业还是服务业价值链贸易,对国际经济周期协同性都具有显著正向影响,侧面反映出服务业也在越来越深入地融入全球分工体系;价值链贸易对国际经济周期协同性的影响效应主要体现于发展中与发达经济体之间,发达经济体之间的经济周期协同性受其影响并不明显。

关 键 词:全球价值链  经济周期协同  价值链参与度  马尔科夫区制转换模型
收稿时间:2020/5/27 0:00:00
修稿时间:2020/6/29 0:00:00

Impact of Global Value Chain Division on Business Cycle Synchronization
Zhang Zhinan,Pu Zhengning and Li Ming.Impact of Global Value Chain Division on Business Cycle Synchronization[J].Technology Economics,2020,39(5):116-124.
Authors:Zhang Zhinan  Pu Zhengning and Li Ming
Institution:Chinese Academy of Social Sciences Institute of World Economics and Politics,Southeast University,Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank
Abstract:In recent years, with the national ecological civilization concept taking root, and the protection and construction of ecological wetlands being continuously promoted, the plant landscape design and construction of wet environment have attracted much attention of the profession. Because of the particularity of wetland environment, there are many technical difficulties in plant landscape construction. This paper has arranged, analyzed and summarized the planning and design and construction techniques of the wet woody plants specialized garden in Ningbo Botanical Garden, mainly interpreting the planning and design ideas and main technical points in the construction process. Furthermore, it has summarized the successful points and existing problems in the planning and design and construction of this special garden, so as to provide reference for construction of plant landscape of wet environment in the future.
Keywords:landscape plant  plant landscape  wet woody plant  planning and design  botanical garden  plant specialized garden
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