旅游产业与县域经济耦合协调发展研究 ——来自桂林阳朔县的经验证据

旅游业可以带动县域经济的发展,但也要依靠一定程度的经济作为基础支撑,如何协调好两者的均衡发展,关系到旅游产业与县域经济的耦合协调问题。以阳朔县为研究对象,采用协整分析、误差修正模型以及耦合协调度分析的方法对2004年至2018年阳朔县旅游产业和经济的关系和耦合协调性进行研究。结果表明：旅游产业和经济之间存在长期均衡的关系,经济的短期波动受旅游产业的短期波动以及误差修正项的影响；旅游产业和经济在观测期间由轻度失调逐渐转变为良好协调的状态。

The research of Coupled and Coordinated development of tourism industry and county economy --Empirical evidence from Yangshuo county, Guilin

Tourism industry can boost the development of county industry with the basic support of a certain level of economy. How to achieve a balanced development between tourism industry and county economy is also a concern of the coupling development. A case study of Yang Shuo county, though co-integration analysis, error correction model and coupling coordination analysis, studied the coupling development between the tourism industry and economy of Yang Shuo county in the course of 2004 to 2018. The study showed that the relationship between tourist industry and economy is a long-term and balanced one, and short-term fluctuation of tourism industry and error correction terms can lead to a short-term fluctuation on economy; the study saw a turn of status of tourism industry and economy from a mild disorder to a favorable one.