| 我国烤烟的供给反应分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 袁庆禄,蒋中一.我国烤烟的供给反应分析[J].技术经济,2010,29(5):93-98. |
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| 作者姓名： | 袁庆禄 蒋中一 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国农业大学,经济管理学院,北京,100083
2. 农业部农村经济研究中心,北京,100810 |
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| 基金项目： | US NIH/Fogarty International Center Grant(R01-TW05938)资助项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文利用Nerlove模型分析我国烤烟的供给反应。结果表明:当期烤烟价格对烤烟的种植面积有显著的正向影响,前期粮食价格对烤烟的种植面积有显著的负向影响。进一步分析可知,粮食价格对烟农的种植决策有着不可忽视的影响,影响程度甚至超过了烤烟自身的价格。
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| 关 键 词： | 烤烟 供给反应 Nerlove模型 |
Analysis on Supply Response of Flue-cured Tobacco in China |
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| Yuan Qinglu,Jiang Zhongyi.Analysis on Supply Response of Flue-cured Tobacco in China[J].Technology Economics,2010,29(5):93-98. |
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| Authors: | Yuan Qinglu Jiang Zhongyi |
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| Institution: | 1.College of Economics and Management/a>;China Agricultural University/a>;Beijing 100083/a>;China/a>;2.Research Center for Rural Economy/a>;Ministry of Agriculture/a>;Beijing 100810/a>;China |
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| Abstract: | This paper analyzes the supply response of flue-cured tobacco in China with Nerlove model.The analysis results show that the price of flue-cured tobacco exerts a prominent positive influence on its planting area and the prices of grains in earlier periods have a prominent negative influence on the planting area.Further analysis shows that,the prices of grains have an important impact on the planting decision-making of the farmers,even more than the price of flue-cured tobacco itself. |
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| Keywords: | flue-cured tobacco supply response Nerlove model |
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