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科研院所R&D人力资本投资风险评价——基于改进突变理论
引用本文:王德江,孙剑平.科研院所R&D人力资本投资风险评价——基于改进突变理论[J].技术经济,2010,29(4):6-11.
作者姓名:王德江  孙剑平
作者单位:1. 南京理工大学,经济管理学院,南京,210094;南京电子技术研究所,南京,210039
2. 南京理工大学,经济管理学院,南京,210094
摘    要:风险评价是科研院所R&D人力资本投资风险管理的重要内容。针对现有评价方法在指标权重设置方面的缺陷,本文将突变理论应用于科研院所R&D人力资本投资风险评价中,并对突变综合评价方法进行改进,以提高综合评价结果的分辨水平。应用实例分析结果表明该方法能够清晰地反映评价值的等级和大小,且计算出的风险值的分布更趋于合理。

关 键 词:风险评价  突变理论  R&D人力资本  科研院所

Investment Risk Evaluation of R &D Human Capital in Scientific Research Institutions: Based on Improved Catastrophe Theory
Wang Dejiang,Sun Jianping.Investment Risk Evaluation of R &D Human Capital in Scientific Research Institutions: Based on Improved Catastrophe Theory[J].Technology Economics,2010,29(4):6-11.
Authors:Wang Dejiang    Sun Jianping
Institution:1.School of Economics and Management/a>;Nanjing University of Science and Technology/a>;Nanjing 210094/a>;China/a>;2.Nanjing Research Institute of Electronics Technology/a>;Nanjing 210039/a>;China
Abstract:Risk evaluation is an important content of risk management for R & D human capital investment in scientific research institutrons.In order to solve the flaws of traditional methods in weight setting of indices,catastrophe theory is applied to investment risk evaluation for R&D human capital investment in scientific research institutions in this paper.Furthermore,the catastrophe comprehensive evaluation method is improved as to increase the distinguishing level to comprehensive evaluation results.The applica...
Keywords:risk evaluation  catastrophe theory  R&D human capital  scientific research institutions  
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