我国经济转型过程中的合理投资规模

在梳理现有文献的基础上，运用局部调整模型且从经济转型过程中工业化和城市化的视角，以及运用自适应预期模型且从预期经济增长率的视角，分析了我国经济转型过程中的合理投资规模。通过实证分析，得到两个不同的投资率，即局部调整投资率和自适应预期投资率；并分析了实际投资率、局部调整投资率和自适应预期投资率的关系，从而得出经济转型过程中自适应预期投资率、局部调整投资率分别是合理投资率的上、下限的结论。据此，提出宏观投资调控的目标是使实际投资率位于合理的投资规模区间内，以实现转型过程中经济的平稳发展。

The Optimal Investment Scale During The Process of Economic Transformation

Based on reviewing literatures,this paper analyzes the optimal investment scale by using the partial adjustment model from the perspective of industrialization and urbanization during the economic transformation process as well as by using the adaptive expectation model from the perspective of expected economic growth rate,and obtains two different investment rates through empirical analysis which are the investment rate of partial adjustment and the adaptive expected investment rate.Then,by analyzing the r...