中国农村居民收入与农业投资结构实证分析

文章在偏相关分析的基础上,通过建立典型相关模型,对中国农村居民收入结构和农业投资结构之间的关系展开研究。实证分析农民收入来源结构与农业投资结构各变量之间的关联程度及影响。结果发现,农民收入中的转移性收入与国家财政支农资金的关系最为紧密;工资性收入与农村集体单位投资呈现最大相关,而家庭经营纯收入则与农村居民个人投资呈现最大相关;农业贷款对农民增收具有显著影响,同时我国金融发展在结构和功能上与农村经济发展和农民收入增长的实际需求还不协调。研究结果为探析当前我国农业投资中存在的主要问题,制定和实施积极的农业投资政策提供了实证依据。

An Empirical Analysis of Rural Residents' Income and Agricultural Investment Structure in China

On the basis of partial correlation analysis, this paper made a research into the relations between rural residents＆#39; income structure and agricultural investment structure by building the canonical correlation model. The research did an empirical analysis of the associated degree and impact between variables of rural residents, income structure and agricultural investment structure. Results showed that the relationship between the income of the farmers in the transfer income and the national financial fund for agriculture is the most closely. Investment income and rural collective units show maximum correlation, while the family business income is the maximum correlation with personal investment in rural residents. Agricultural loans have significant influence on the increase of farmers＆#39; income. At the same time, the actual demand of China＆#39;s financial development in the structure and function and the growth of rural economic development and farmers＆#39; income are not coordinated. The research results offer the demonstration support for exploring the main problems of agricultural investment of China and formulating and implementing proactive agricultural investment policy.