银川市生态经济可持续发展研究

生态足迹模型是评价区域可持续发展水平和能力的科学方法之一,为制定区域可持续发展政策提供了重要科技支撑。文章基于改进生态足迹方法,在生态经济系统框架下构建生态足迹变化驱动力指标体系,运用地理探测器分析了银川市2009—2017年生态经济发展状况。结果显示:银川市人均生态足迹总体呈增长趋势,人均生态承载力持续下降,生态赤字较高,生态压力较大;生态足迹分布趋向失衡,生态经济系统稳定性降低,但区域可持续发展能力指数稳步增长;经济系统对银川市生态足迹变化起主导作用,总体表现为"经济子系统>生态子系统>技术子系统"。应从生态、经济、技术三方面采取措施提升银川市生态经济系统可持续发展能力。

Research on the Sustainable Development of Ecological Economy in Yinchuan

Ecological footprint model is one of the scientific methods to evaluate the level and capacity of regional sustainable development,which provides important scientific and technological support for the formulation of regional sustainable development policies.This paper uses the improved ecological footprint method to construct the driving force index system of ecological footprint change under the framework of the ecological economic system,and uses the geographical detector to conduct a quantitative study on the ecological economic development of Yinchuan in 2009-2017.The results show that:The per capita ecological footprint of Yinchuan city is on the increase trend,the per capita ecological carrying capacity continues to decline,the ecological deficit is high,and the ecological pressure is large;The distribution of ecological footprint tends to be unbalanced,the stability of ecological economic system decreases,but the regional sustainable development capacity index increases steadily;The economic system plays a leading role in the change of ecological footprint of Yinchuan city,The overall performance is"economic subsystem>ecological subsystem>technological subsystem".We should promote the sustainable development of ecological economy from the ecological,economic and technological aspects of Yinchuan city.