| 经济增长中三大需求作用的实证分析——以天津为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈元清.经济增长中三大需求作用的实证分析——以天津为例[J].生态经济(学术版),2010(2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈元清 |
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| 作者单位： | 天津师范大学经济学院;南开大学经济学院; |
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| 基金项目： | 天津市哲学社会科学规划重点课题“天津对外贸易与经济增长关系研究(1867-2008)”(TJJL08—024) |
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| 摘 要： | 文章利用天津1980～2007年的年度统计数据,对推进天津经济增长的消费、投资和出口的作用进行了实证研究。从长期来看,天津消费、投资、出口与经济增长之间存在长期的均衡关系;从短期来看,消费对同期的天津经济增长具有促进作用,投资和出口带动了后一期的经济增长。消费在促进经济增长中发挥了主要的作用,其次是投资和出口贸易。最后,根据实证结论,提出了利用消费、投资、出口协调发展,促进天津经济持续稳定增长的政策建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 出口 消费 投资 经济增长 协整检验 |
Positive Analysis on the Role of the Three Key Demands in Economic Growth:A Case Study of Tianjin |
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| CHEN Yuanqing.Positive Analysis on the Role of the Three Key Demands in Economic Growth:A Case Study of Tianjin[J].Ecological Economy,2010(2). |
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| Authors: | CHEN Yuanqing |
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| Abstract: | Based of the statistical data of Tianjin from 1980 to 2007, an empirical analysis of the role of investment, consumption and export in promoting economic growth is carried out by using co-integration test and error correction model. The results show that there exist a long-run steady balanced relationship between investment, consumption, exports and economic growth, and in the short run consumption has a positive effect on the present economic growth, export and investment have positive effect on the next t... |
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| Keywords: | investment consumption export economic growth co-integration test |
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