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中国经济与美、日经济波动的相关性研究
引用本文:何艳秋.中国经济与美、日经济波动的相关性研究[J].经济与管理,2008,22(7):10-14.
作者姓名:何艳秋
作者单位:西南财经大学,统计学院,四川,成都,610074
摘    要:中国经济与美、日经济波动有很强的相关性和长期的均衡关系,美国经济与中国经济间有正向关系;日本与中国经济间却是负向关系。美、日两国经济的共同波动会通过资本流动的渠道影响中国。因此,为了降低美日经济波动对中国的影响,中国贸易必须走多元化的路子,而且应减少对国外资金流入的依赖。

关 键 词:经济波动  相关性  协整  VAR  因果检验

The Relativity Research of China's Economy and the Economic Fluctuations of Japan and the United States
He Yanqiu.The Relativity Research of China''''s Economy and the Economic Fluctuations of Japan and the United States[J].Economy and Management,2008,22(7):10-14.
Authors:He Yanqiu
Institution:He Yanqiu (Statistics School, Southwestern University od Finance and Economics, Chengdu 610074, China)
Abstract:There are strong correlation and long-run equilibrium relation between the China's economy and the economic fluctuation of Japan and the United States.There is positive relation between the America's economy and China's economy,but negative relation between the Japan's economy and China's economy.The economic fluctuation of Japan and the United States will affect China through the channel of capital flow.So,in order to decrease the effect of economic fluctuation of Japan and the United States to China,China's trade should develop the diversification method,and reduce the dependency on the foreign capital inflows.
Keywords:economic fluctuations  correlation  cointegration  VAR  causality test
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