从文献计量分析看1981—2011年全球系统动力学研究

系统动力学作为一个研究复杂反馈系统的研究领域,在20世纪80年代以后得到了较为广泛的传播和较快发展。以美国科学引文索引数据库扩展版(SCI-Expanded)和社会科学引文索引数据库(SSCI)收录发表于1981—2011年间的976篇系统动力学论文为研究对象,对这些论文的产出规模、地域分布、学科分布、知识基础等方面进行了计量分析。结果显示,30余年来,全球系统动力学成果产出逐渐丰富,理论研究与应用研究得到积极推进,与众多学科联系紧密,各国科研投入力量在不断加强,同时也反映出,美国系统动力学研究在全球一枝独秀。

A Bibliometric Study of Global System Dynamics Research During 1981-2011

System dynamics is a research domain emphasizing understanding the structure and dynamics of complex systems and has a wide range of applications in recent years. As a measure of scientific output, SCI articles could, to a certain extent, reflect the development of a research domain. Based on 976 articles published in 1981-2011 and collected by the SCI-Expanded database and SSCI database, this paper analyzes the status of global system dynamics research in terms of literature output, geographical and discipline distribution, knowledge bases, etc. The empirical results show that researches in the domain over the past 30 years has presented an upward trend with a wide range of knowledge bases. The domain encompasses a broad spectrum of scientific disciplines. The number of participant country is 57. Among them, the U.S.A has been playing a leading role.