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Dynamic and long-term linkages among agricultural and non-agricultural growth,inequality and poverty in developing countries
Authors:Katsushi S Imai  Wenya Cheng  Raghav Gaiha
Institution:1. Economics, School of Social Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK;2. Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, USA;3. Global Development Institute, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
Abstract:Drawing upon cross-country panel data for developing countries, the present study examines the role of agricultural growth in reducing inequality and poverty by modelling the dynamic linkage between agricultural and non-agricultural sectors. For this purpose, we have compared the roles of agricultural and non-agricultural growth and have found that agricultural growth is more important in reducing poverty, while the negative effect of agricultural growth on inequality is found in a few cases where specific definitions of inequality are adopted. Our analysis generally reinforces the case for revival of agriculture in the post-2015 discourse, contrary to much-emphasised roles of rural–urban migration and urbanisation as main drivers of growth and elimination of extreme poverty.
Keywords:Inequality  Poverty  Growth  Agriculture  Non-agriculture  MDG  SDG
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