Testing economic theories of voter behaviour using micro-data

Three hypotheses often encountered in economic analyses of voter behaviour are tested using an extensive data set derived from six consecutive national election studies in the Netherlands in the period 1971–1986. These hypotheses are: (i) the party choice and turnout decisions are taken sequentially and independently by voters; (ii) social gorups play a central role in the decisionmaking processes in the political sphere; (iii) the effect of individual-level variables on party choice is stable over time. The results provide support for the first hypothesis and partial support for the second, where the specific categorization of individuals to be chosen is a matter that needs further investigation. The third hypothesis is rejected by the data: the relationship between the variables chosen and party choice proved to be unstable.