户籍管制、基本公共服务供给与城市化——基于城市特征与流动人口监测数据的经验分析

本文在理论分析户籍管制、基本公共服务供给对城市化影响的基础上，利用2015年240个城市特征数据与2016年流动人口监测微观数据进行了实证检验。研究结果显示，户籍管制抑制了流动人口迁移的稳定性与完整性，是城市选择性吸纳高禀赋人口的重要制度工具。提高基本公共服务供给有助于促进流动人口自身稳定与家庭完整迁移，但基本公共服务的正向作用不足以抵消户籍管制的负向影响。研究结果还发现户籍管制、基本公共服务供给对流动人口迁移稳定性与完整性的影响存在个体差异。户籍管制制约了新生代流动人口迁移的稳定性与完整性，增加基本公共服务供给则有利于新生代流动人口与高禀赋人口的稳定与完整迁移。

HOUSEHOLD REGISTRATION,BASIC PUBLIC GOODS SUPPLY AND URBANIZATION——Empirical Analysis Based on City Characteristics and Migration Population Monitoring Data

Based on the theoretical analysis of the effects of household registration and basic public goods supply on urbanization, this paper sets an empirical analysis using the 240 cities data in 2015 and migration people monitoring data in 2016. The results of the study show that household registration restrains the stability and completeness of labor migration. It is also an important institutional tool for cities to selectively absorb high endowment people. Improving the supply of basic public goods will promote the stability and completeness of labor migration. However, the positive effect is not sufficient to offset the negative impact. The study also found that the effects of household registration and basic public goods supply on the stability and completeness of labor migration have differences in individual age, education level, and migration time. The household registration restricts the stability and completeness of the migration of the new generation migration people. Increasing the supply of basic public goods is conducive to the stable and complete migration of the new generation migration people and high endowment people.