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Frontiers of futures research: What's next?
Authors:Theodore J  Jerome C  Ana
Institution:American Council for the United Nations University, 4421 Garrison Street N.W., Washington DC 20016, United States
Abstract:This paper describes some important frontiers of futures research with the aim of identifying new opportunities for improving the value and utility of the field. These frontiers include the exploration and/or the reexamination of
(a) Potential for integrating new technology with futures research methods,
(b) Ways to reduce the domain of the unknowable,
(c) Ways to account for uncertainty in decision making,
(d) Strategies for planning and management of nonlinear systems operating in the chaotic regime,
(e) Ways to improve understanding of psychological factors that lead to irrational decisions
(f) Appropriate levels of aggregation in investigation of forecasting problems.
(g) The potential offered by new sources of social data.
Keywords: Futures research methodology; New technologies; Decision making; Uncertainty; Non-linear systems; Futures methodology issues
Keywords:Futures research methodology  New technologies  Decision making  Uncertainty  Non-linear systems  Futures methodology issues
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