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The methodology combination of a national foresight process in Germany
Authors:Kerstin Cuhls [Author Vitae]  Amina Beyer-Kutzner [Author Vitae] [Author Vitae]  Philine Warnke [Author Vitae]
Institution:a Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (ISI), Breslauer Str. 48, 76139 Karlsruhe, Germany
b German Federal Ministry for Research and Education, BMBF, Germany
c Fraunhofer Institute for Industrial Engineering, Germany
d Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research, Germany
Abstract:In September 2007, the Federal German Ministry for Education and Research (BMBF) launched a new foresight process which aimed at four specific targets. To achieve them, a tailor-made combination of methods was applied. This paper focuses on the concept design of the process and explains one of the methods — the future online survey — in more detail.The German Foresight Process of the BMBF delivers results on different levels: broader future fields as well as single future topics. Both kinds are relevant and selected according to a set of criteria. Some of the results of this foresight process will be directly integrated into national policy activities, others are just more indirectly filtered into the innovation system of the specific sectors in the country. The future fields are all cross-cutting issues based on science and technology. All of them are specifically knowledge dynamic fields.
Keywords:Foresight process  Fully-fledged foresight  Bibliometrics  Strategic partnerships  Research alliances
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