技术效率、技术进步与东亚经济增长——基于APEC视角的实证分析

本文运用当期DEA和序列DEA两种方法测度了1960—2004年APEC17个国家和地区的技术效率、技术进步及曼奎斯特生产率指数,并且对APEC经济增长的趋同效应进行了实证检验。本文的主要结论是:20世纪80年代,东亚地区全要素生产率平均增长超过了APEC其他地区,但是全要素生产率对于劳动生产率增长的贡献仍然低于发达国家;在整个样本期存在显著的趋同,资本积累是趋同最重要的源泉,而技术进步则使经济增长发散;序列DEA避免了技术的退步,是一种比当期DEA测度技术进步更好的方法。

Technical Efficiency,Technical Progress and East-Asian Economic Growth——Empirical Analysis Based on APEC's View

Applying contemporaneous DEA and sequential DEA,this paper measures the technical efficiency,the technical progress and Malmquist productivity indexes in 17 countries and districts in APEC from 1960 to 2004;It has also testified empirically its convergence effect of economic growth. The major conclusions are as follows: In 1980s, the growth of TFP in the East Asian countries has exceeded those in the other APEC countries on average, but what it contributes to labor productivity growth is less than in the developed countries. There was a significant convergence in the levels of labor productivity over the whole period. Capital accumulation was the most important source of convergence. TFP was a significant source of divergence. Sequential DEA eliminates the possibility of technical regress, and provides a more adequate measure technical progress than contemporaneous DEA.