汇率调整对中国就业的影响——基于理论与经验的研究

汇率变动影响出口产品的价格 ,改变出口企业的投资决策 ,从而使出口企业的生产规模发生变化 ,劳动力需求也受到影响。当出口在一国经济中占有重要地位时 ,汇率的调整就会影响就业。本文通过理论和实证方法 ,分析人民币汇率调整对就业的实际影响。研究结果表明 ,人民币升值将抑制就业的增长 ,并加重就业负担。因此 ,目前人民币汇率不宜大幅上升 ,但有必要对外汇管理和外贸体制进行适时的调整 ,以适应日益开放的竞争性市场体系

Exchange Rate Adjustment and its Impact on Employment in China

The exchange rate will influence the price of exported commodities, and then change the enterprises' investment decision, which will in turn lead to the change of their labor demands. If exportation plays an important role in the economy, the adjustment of exchange rate will influence the employment rate. This paper will analyze the influence of the exchange rate of Renminbi on the employment through theoretical and empirical methods. The result shows that the revaluation of Renminbi will deteriorate the employment. So, now Renminbi should not be revaluated, but it is necessary to reform the exchange regime and foreign trade system.