国际贸易结构分析:贸易品的技术分布

对国际贸易结构的理论与经验研究已经充分揭示了技术在贸易中的重要作用。但是,对于如何识别贸易品的技术差异,如何分析贸易品的技术分布状况,进而如何从技术分布来分析贸易结构等,目前还没有非常成熟的方法。本文试图通过完善关志雄(2002)在这方面的努力来提供基于贸易品技术分布的贸易结构分析法。本文用显示技术附加值赋值原理作为识别贸易品技术附加值高低的理论基础,然后根据这一原理提供了具体的赋值方法,并提出了四种基于贸易品技术分布的贸易结构分析方法,分别是:竞争互补指数、竞争压力指数、技术高度曲线和贸易品高低技术分类分析法。最后,本文用上述方法分析了中国的对外贸易结构。

Analyzing the Foreign Trade Structure Based on Technologies of Traded Goods

International trade theory found that technology played important parts in determining foreign trade structure.The difficulty is,however,how to identify the differences between technologies of traded goods,how to map the technological distribution of traded goods and how to analyze trade patterns based on differences of technological advances among trading partner countries.This paper attempts to provide a method of analyzing trade structure based on technological distribution of traded goods that is built on the Principle of Revealed Value-added by Technology.Based on this method,we try to establish Competitiveness-Complementarities Index for trade,the Competitive Stress Index,the Curve of Technology and the classification for high-tech and low-tech traded goods.In addition,this paper analyzes the China's trade structure in the context of moving to regional free trade agreement(FTA).