健康风险冲击对农户收入的影响

本文基于中国8个省份、1354个农户、跨度15年的微观面板数据,测算了大病冲击对于农户长期收入的影响以及健康风险冲击持续的时间。我们发现:(1)大病冲击在随后的12年里对于农户人均纯收入都有显著的负面影响;(2)大病冲击对于农户的短期与中期影响使得患病户人均纯收入平均降低5%—6%;(3)健康风险冲击的长期影响可持续大约15年,并且冲击对于中低收入农户的影响更为严重。

Health Shocks and Farmers' Income Capabilities

Using a sample of 1354 households in 48 Chinese villages, this paper studies the dynamic effects of major health shocks on household income and the role played by village election in mitigating these effects. Our results show that in the first 12 years after a shock, a shock-hit household on average falls short of its normal income trajectory by 5%—6% and its recovery would take 15 years. In addition, health shocks have a larger effect on poorer and medium households with a smaller stock of initial wealth.