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中国产业结构变迁与经济增长的实证分析
引用本文:徐冬林.中国产业结构变迁与经济增长的实证分析[J].中南财经政法大学学报,2004(2):49-54.
作者姓名:徐冬林
作者单位:中南财经政法大学,信息学院,湖北,武汉,430060
摘    要:本文对我国1978~2002年产业结构变化状况和产业结构变化趋势进行定量分析,考察产业结构变动引起各产业部门对经济增长的贡献和作用的相应变化.实证检验表明,这一时期我国产业结构变动基本符合工业化发展的演变规律,但从我国经济发展的要求看,产业结构转换仍滞后于总量增长的要求;进一步优化产业结构,需要着力解决"三农"问题、提升企业的国际竞争力、加快发展第三产业.

关 键 词:产业结构  因素分析  经济增长
文章编号:1003-5230(2004)02-0049-06
修稿时间:2003年9月20日

An Empirical Analysis of China's Industrial Structure Change and Economic Growth
XU Dong-lin.An Empirical Analysis of China''''s Industrial Structure Change and Economic Growth[J].Journal of Zhongnan University of Finance and Economics,2004(2):49-54.
Authors:XU Dong-lin
Abstract:This paper has done quantitative analysis on status and trend of China's industrial structure change during the period of 1978-2002, and has analysed the relative change of contribution and affect on economic growth of every industrial sector that caused by industrial structure change. The Empirical test has demonstrated that the industrial structure change is accord with the evolve rule of industrialization development, and total economic growth is the weighted sum up of the growth of every industrial sector. However, China's industrial structure change has lagged behind the demand of economic development, we must press ahead to optimize and upgrade the industrial structure so as to bring about an industrial pattern with high and new technology industries as the leader, basic and manufacturing industries as the kingpin and the service industry developing in all areas, at the same time, correctly handle the issues concerning of agriculture, countryside and farmers, continue to strengthen enterprise's international competitiveness.
Keywords:Industrial Structure  Factor Analysis  Economic Growth  
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