| 山东省进出口结构实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 李彩华,崔晓林.山东省进出口结构实证研究[J].经济研究导刊,2011(1):178-181. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李彩华 崔晓林 |
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| 作者单位： | 青岛大学,国际商学院,山东,青岛,266071 |
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| 摘 要： | 进出口一直被认为是促进经济增长的重要因素。选取1984—2007年的山东省进出口贸易额及GDP作为研究对象,运用计量经济学分析方法中时间序列的平稳性检验及协整分析方法,对进口、出口及GDP三者的关系进行实证研究,结果表明,山东省进出口与经济增长之间存在长期的均衡关系,进一步证明了三者之间存在协整关系,并且发现进口对经济增长的影响较出口更为显著。
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| 关 键 词： | 协整分析 经济增长 Grange因果关系 山东省 |
An Empirical Study of Import and Export of Shandong |
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| LI Cai-hua,CUI Xiao-lin.An Empirical Study of Import and Export of Shandong[J].Economic Research Guide,2011(1):178-181. |
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| Authors: | LI Cai-hua CUI Xiao-lin |
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| Institution: | LI Cai-hua,CUI Xiao-lin (International Business Department of Qingdao University,Qingdao 266071,China) |
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| Abstract: | Import and export play an important role in improving the economic growth.Based on the Econometric analysis and the data of import,export and economic growth from 1984 to 2007,the paper did an empirical study of import and export of Shandong province.The result showed that there is a long term equilibrium relationship and co-integration relationship between the import,export and economic growth,and we also found the import play an more important role in economic growth than export. |
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| Keywords: | co-integration analysis economic growth granger causality Shandong Province |
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