蓝色经济区科技创新人才对经济发展的影响研究

围绕蓝色经济区科技创新人才对经济发展的影响机制,选取具有代表性的指标变量,利用2002-2014年相关数据,对各变量进行Johansen协整检验,构建基于经济意义的SVAR模型,并在此基础上,进行脉冲响应函数分析和方差分解分析,探讨科技创新人才对经济发展的动态影响及贡献程度。结果表明,蓝色经济区科技创新人才与经济发展存在长期稳定的均衡关系,且科技创新人才对经济发展具有正向促进作用,但作用存在滞后期且效果不明显。因此,政府在培养科技创新人才的同时,应进一步加强科技创新成果产出及成果转化,以充分发挥蓝色经济区科技创新的人才优势。

Research on the Influence of Technological-Innovative Talents on Economic Development based on SVAR Model

Based on the interaction mechanism between technological-innovative talents and economic development in the blue economic zone, selected some representative indicator variables, tested on each variable by Johansen co-integration using the data from 2002 to 2014, then build a SVAR model.With the model, made the analysis of impulse response function and variance to explore the dynamic influential relationship and the degree of contribution between technological-innovative talents and economic development. The results shows that in the blue economic zone, the relationship between technological-innovative talents and economic development is perennial、stable and balanced, moreover the talents can promote the economic development but the role is lag and the effect is not obvious. Therefore, the government should promote cultivating technological-innovative talents at the same time should further emphasize on the technological-innovative output and the output achievements' transformation so that the technological-innovative talents can give full play to their advantages.