区际产业转移关联溢出与产业高质量发展——对电子设备制造业的实证检验

基于我国区际产业转移大背景，使用1999-2016内地年30个省市、27个二位数工业行业数据定量测度区际产业转移，选择产业关联较强的电子设备制造业为研究对象，使用投入产出法识别关联产业、测算其关联产业溢出，利用2004—2016年内地28个省市面板数据构建模型对关联产业溢出效应与电子设备制造业转移的关系、产业转移中的关联产业溢出与电子设备制造业高质量发展的关系分别进行了实证检验。研究发现：①2014年中国工业空间基尼系数出现拐点，总体工业由之前的分散转移转为新的集中转移，而电子设备制造业仍处在向中部地区和西南地区集聚的分散转移中；②电子设备制造业转移中的产业关联溢出效应确实存在，且促进了电子设备制造业生产效率的提高和产业高质量发展；③产业转移中第三产业关联溢出效应对电子设备制造业分散转移的作用高于工业，但工业的关联溢出对电子设备制造业生产效率提升的作用明显高于第三产业。

Industrial Linkages Spillover of Regional Industrial Transfer and High-Quality Development

Based on the background of China's regional industrial transfer,this paper quantitatively measures regional industrial transfer using data from 30 provinces and cities and 27 two-digit industrial industries from 1999 to 2016,and selects the electronic equipment manufacturing industry with strong industrial relevance as the research object,and uses the input-output method to identify related industries and measures the spillover of related industries.Building models using 28 provinces and cities panel data from 2004 to 2016,the relationship between the spillover effect of related industries and the transfer of electronic equipment manufacturing industry,the relationship between the spillover of related industries in industrial transfer and the high-quality development of electronic equipment manufacturing industry were tested empirically.The study finds that:①In 2014,the spatial Gini coefficient of China's industrial showed an inflection point.The overall industry shifted from the previous decentralized transfer to a new centralized transfer,while the electronic equipment manufacturing industry is still in the decentralized transfer to the central and southwestern regions.②The industry-related spillover effect in the transfer of electronic equipment manufacturing does exist,and promotes the improvement of the production efficiency of the electronic equipment manufacturing industry and the high-quality development of the industry.③In the industrial transfer,the effect of the tertiary industry's linkages spillover effect on the decentralization of the electronic equipment manufacturing industry is higher than that of the industry,but the impact of industrial linkages spillover on the production efficiency of electronic equipment manufacturing industry is significantly higher than that of the tertiary industry.