环境规制对制造业绿色转型的影响机制及实证研究

制造业绿色转型是大势所趋，环境规制作为实现环境效益的重要手段，其如何影响制造业绿色转型值得探讨。在阐述环境规制对制造业绿色转型直接影响和间接影响机制的基础上，使用2005—2017年中国（内地）省级面板数据，采用基于EBM-GML模型计算得出的绿色全要素生产率衡量中国制造业绿色转型程度，进而建立固定效应面板模型检验异质性环境规制对制造业绿色转型的影响。结果表明：我国制造业绿色转型程度整体保持上升趋势，增长速度呈现出明显阶段性特征。环境规制对制造业绿色转型具有非线性影响，命令控制型环境规制和自愿参与型环境规制超过一定限度后能直接加快制造业绿色转型进程，市场激励型环境规制的直接影响则不显著；环境规制能够通过技术创新、外商直接投资、产业结构间接促进制造业绿色转型，产业集聚的影响则不显著；市场激励型环境规制能够通过间接效应影响制造业绿色转型。

The Influence Mechanism and Empirical Study of Environmental Regulation on the Green Transformation of Manufacturing Industry

This paper expounds the direct and indirect influence mechanism of environmental regulation on the green transformation of manufacturing industry.Using the Chinese provincial panel data from 2005 to 2017,the green total factor productivity calculated based on EBM-GML model is used to measure the degree of green transformation of Chinese manufacturing industry,and then a fixed effect panel model is established to test the impact of heterogeneous environmental regulation on the green transformation of manufacturing industry.The results show as follows: environmental regulation has a non-linear effect on the green transformation of manufacturing industry,and command-controlled and voluntary participation environmental regulation can promote the process of green transformation of manufacturing industry when they exceed a certain limit.Environmental regulation can promote the green transformation of manufacturing industry through technological innovation,foreign direct investment and industrial structure,but the effect of industrial agglomeration is not obvious.Market incentive environmental regulation can better affect the green transformation of manufacturing industry through indirect effects.