高质量发展下中国产业转型升级方向研究

产业不断转型升级是实现经济高质量发展的关键，从数量和质量两个维度可以总结出其具体路径。选取1985-2017年中国年度数据和1960-2017年美国年度数据，运用向量自回归模型对广义和狭义产业结构以及经济增长间的动态关系进行分析。结果表明，中美之间产业转型升级对经济发展的影响存在差异，据此可以得出高质量发展下中国产业转型升级方向，即拓展并细化产业转型升级维度;注重不同产业间的配比，尤其是生产性服务业和制造业配比;重视并确立制造业的根本地位;提升我国经济外向型程度。

Research on the Direction of China's Industrial Transformation and Upgrading under High Quality Development

The continuous transformation and upgrading of the industry is the key to realize the high-quality economic development. We can conclude its specific path and evolution mechanism from the two dimensions of quantity and quality. This paper uses the time-series data of China during the period of 1985-2017 and the data of The United States during the period of 1960-2017, to simulate and analyzes the dynamic relationship among broad and narrow sense of industrial structure with economic growth. The results show there are some differences between China and American. Accordingly, we can get the specific direction of China's industrial transformation and upgrading under high-quality development, such as expanding and refining the dimension of industrial transformation and upgrading;pay attention to the ratio between different industries, especially the ratio between producer services and manufacturing industries;attaching importance to and establishing the fundamental position of manufacturing industry in high quality development;enhance the export-oriented degree of our economy.