金融科技与制造业绿色转型协同演化机制及区域协同差异——基于哈肯模型的实证分析

为探究我国金融科技—制造业绿色转型复合系统自组织协同演化机制，在对复合系统协同演化机理进行分析的基础上，构建哈肯模型，利用2011—2019年省级面板数据进行实证分析，进一步探析金融科技—制造业绿色转型复合系统的区域协同差异。结果表明，制造业绿色转型是控制复合系统协同演化结构和方向的关键因素；金融科技与制造业绿色转型之间具有相互促进的协同效应，但两者均形成抑制复合系统协同演化的负反馈机制；样本期内，我国金融科技—制造业绿色转型复合系统协同水平有所提升，但仍处于较低水平，区域协同差异较小但呈扩大趋势；四大经济区域协同水平以“中国制造2025”战略提出为界，呈显著的阶段性特征，东部地区协同水平差异远大于其它地区，中部、西部和东北地区协同水平差异相当，东部和东北地区协同水平差异均呈扩大态势。

Synergistic Evolution MechanismBetween Fintech and Manufacturing Green Transformation and Regional Synergistic Differences：an Empirical Analysis Based on Haken Model

Green manufacturing is one of the main directions of the manufacturing power strategy of “made in China 2025”, and also the direction and goal of China's manufacturing industry transformation. In order to fulfill the goal of "dual-carbon", it is urgent to build an efficient, clean, low-carbon and circular green manufacturing system, which also puts forward higher requirements for financial services. As the innovation of products and services in traditional financial industry, fintech is an important driving force for achieving green transformation in manufacturing industry. Existing literature pays high attention to the factors of the green transformation of manufacturing industry, industry differences and the relationship between fintech and industrial structure transformation or manufacturing structure optimization, but little focus on regional synergy and cooperative evolution law between fintech and the green transformation of manufacturing industry.#br#Therefor this paper sorts out the relevant literature at home and abroad, and explains the composition and operation of the manufacturing green transformation system, fintech system and the "fintech-manufacturing green transformation" composite system from the perspective of system science. The synergy theory is introduced into the composite system of "fintech-manufacturing green transformation", and its collaborative evolution mechanism is analyzed. The index system that measures the green transformation subsystem of manufacturing industry is constructed from the four dimensions of green development contribution, green innovation driven, green environmental regulation and regional green guarantee. The comprehensive index method is used to evaluate it’s state level, meanwhile, the digital financial inclusion index is used to measure the fintech subsystem. The panel data of 30 (excluding Tibet, Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan) provincial administrative regions from 2011 to 2019 in mainland China were selected to perform an empirical analysis. The collaborative evolution mechanism of the composite system of "fintech-manufacturing green transformation" was demonstrated by Haken model, and the synergistic difference of composite system in the four economic regional of China was measured by Theil index.#br#Compared with previous studies, this study for the first time introduces the theory of synergy into the research of the synergy relationship between fintech and the green transformation of manufacturing industry, and expands the research perspective. This study contributes to the existing literature in two aspects. First, as for research method, it not only explains the collaborative evolution mechanism of composite system, but also interprets the law of collaborative evolution by using Haken model. Second, as for research value, we study the coordination between fintech and the green transformation of manufacturing industry from a dynamic perspective, and explore the internal logic of the evolution. This paper provides a reference for policy-making which aims to make regional fintech better serve the green transformation of manufacturing industry.#br#Three conclusions were drawn from this study. First, there is a collaborative evolution mechanism in the composite system of "fintech-manufacturing green transformation", meanwhile, the structure and order degree of coevolution depends on the level of green transformation of manufacturing industry. Second, the average synergy level of the "fintech-green transformation of manufacturing" composite system is bounded by the "Made in China 2025" strategy which shows obvious stage characteristics. Third the synergistic differences of "fintech-green transformation of manufacturing" composite system in the different regions of China is small. However, there is an overall trend of expansion.#br#Three important implications are proposed accordingly. Firstly, we should accelerate the pace of green transformation of manufacturing industry to drive the coordinated development of fintech with the higher requirements of financial products and services for the green development of manufacturing industry. Only in this way can we improve the coordination level, promote the order and optimize the structure of composite system. Second, it is necessary to promote the green demonstration experience in manufacturing industry, and narrow the regional differences of composite system synergy. Third, guided by the concept of regional cooperation and regional coordinated development, we will improve the fintech support system for the green development of the manufacturing industry.#br#