| 区域人口与经济发展互动关系定量分析--以青岛市为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 李新运,史纪慧.区域人口与经济发展互动关系定量分析--以青岛市为例[J].经济学(季刊),2012(4):14-20. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李新运 史纪慧 |
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| 作者单位： | 山东财经大学管理科学与工程学院 山东济南 250014;山东财经大学管理科学与工程学院 山东济南 250014 |
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| 基金项目： | 2010年国家人口计生委课题“提高人口素质对我国经济发展贡献率的定量研究”(编号:6);2010年山东省人口计生委课题“山东人口发展与经济文化强省建设问题研究”(编号:9);2011年青岛市人口计生委课题“青岛市人口素质、结构、分布与经济社会发展关系研究”(编号:2) |
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| 摘 要： | 区域人口与经济发展之间具有密切的互动关系。采用格兰杰检验法判定二者之间的因果关系,采用多元回归分析法提取二者之间的数量关系。根据1978～2010年统计数据和历次人口普查数据,对青岛市人口与经济发展之间的定量关系进行了实证研究。
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| 关 键 词： | 人口 经济发展 互动关系 格兰杰检验 回归分析 |
Quantitative Analysis of the Interaction Relationship between Regional Population and Economic Development--Taking Qingdao for Example |
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| LI Xin-yun and SHI Ji-hui.Quantitative Analysis of the Interaction Relationship between Regional Population and Economic Development--Taking Qingdao for Example[J].China Economic Quarterly,2012(4):14-20. |
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| Authors: | LI Xin-yun and SHI Ji-hui |
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| Institution: | School of Management Science and Engineering,Shandong University of Finance and Economics, Jinan 250014,China;School of Management Science and Engineering,Shandong University of Finance and Economics, Jinan 250014,China |
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| Abstract: | Regional population and economic development have a close interactive relationship, for quantitative analysis of these relationships,the article use Granger test method to determine the causal relationship between the two and on this basis use multiple regression analysis to extract quantitative relationship between the two. According to 1978-2010 statistical data and the previous census data,the article use the empirical study method to research the quantitative relationship between population and economic development in Qingdao. |
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| Keywords: | population economic development interactive relationship Granger test regression analysis |
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