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The impact of non-cognitive skills and risk preferences on rural-to-urban migration in Ukraine
Institution:1. Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC), EUREF Campus 19, Torgauer Str. 12-15, Berlin 10829, Germany;2. IZA, Bonn, Germany;3. Leibniz Institut für Ost- und Südosteuropaforschung (IOS), Landshuter Str. 4, Regensburg 93047, Germany;4. Department of Economics, University of Bologna, Strada Maggiore 45, Bologna 40125, Italy;5. National Research University Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russia;1. Department of Economics, College of Economics, Jinan University, Address no. 601, Huangpu Street West, Guangzhou, China;2. Queen Mary University of London, Mile End Road, E1 4NS, London, United Kingdom;1. Asian Development Bank, No. 6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City 1550 Philippines;2. Department of Economics, University of Messina, Piazza Pugliatti 1, 98122 Messina, Italy
Abstract:This paper provides evidence on the impact of non-cognitive skills and attitudes towards risk on the decision to migrate from rural to urban areas. Our analysis is based on a unique four-wave panel of the Ukrainian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey for the period between 2003 and 2012. Adopting the Five Factor Model of personality structure, and using it in the evaluation of non-cognitive skills, our results suggest that the personality trait openness to new experience increases the probability of migration. On the other hand, the non-cognitive skills conscientiousness and agreeableness are found to be negatively associated with the propensity to migrate. The impact of an increased willingness to take risks is more complex in that it increases the proclivity to move from rural areas to cities but lowers the migration intention from rural areas to towns. The effects are quantitatively significant and are robust to several sensitivity checks, including tests of reverse causality.
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