Violence exposure and poverty: Evidence from the Burundi civil war |
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| Institution: | 1. Université Paris-Dauphine - PSL, CNRS, IRD, LEDa - DIAL, Paris, France; and IZA, Bonn, Germany.;2. European Centre for Advanced Research in Economics and Statistics, Solvay Brussels School of Economics and Management, Université libre de Bruxelles, Belgium.;1. Ph.D. Fellow of the Research Foundation - Flanders (FWO);2. Research Centre for Regional Economics (VIVES), KU Leuven - University of Leuven, Belgium;1. University of Marburg, Public Economics Group, Am Plan 2, 35037 Marburg, Germany. CESifo, Munich, Germany. EconomiX, Paris, France;2. University of Marburg, Public Economics Group, Am Plan 2, 35037 Marburg, Germany;3. ifo Institute for Economic Research, Poschingerstr. 5, 81679 Munich, Germany. University of Munich, Germany. CESifo, Munich, Germany;1. World Bank, 1818 H Street, NW Washington, DC 20433 USA;2. Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Groningen, Nettelbosje 2, Groningen 9747, AE, the Netherlands;1. University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong;2. Johns Hopkins University, United States;3. CESIfo, Germany;4. School of International Trade and Economics, University of International Business and Economics, China;5. Research Institute of Global Value Chains, University of International Business and Economics; George Mason University, China;6. Schar School of Policy and Government, Gerorge Mason University, United States |
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| Abstract: | We investigate the relationship between exposure to the Burundi Civil War and household (food) poverty, using a three-wave household-level panel matched with data on local-level violence. We find that households living in localities exposed to the war have been subsequently more likely to be poor than non-exposed households. Within-household estimations, controlling for time-varying heterogeneity at the province level, confirm the positive impact of violence exposure on household poverty. We investigate some of the potential mechanisms at play in the violence – poverty nexus, and the role of violence exposure in household poverty dynamics over time. Our results notably suggest that the destruction of physical capital, as well as a shift of exposed households out of non-farm activities, shape poverty dynamics and lower their chances of durably remaining out of poverty. |
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