外贸对经济增长的影响分析:理论与经验模型验证

国际贸易理论的核心问题是探究贸易利益的产生及其分配,国际贸易与经济增长具有密切联系。理论分析和经验证据均表明,一国外贸规模对经济增长有着重要作用,对外贸易的变动往往成为决定一国经济增长趋势的关键因素。文章从理论和经验模型上对我国近10多年来外贸和经济增长的关系给出了相关的实证检验,旨在探讨并揭示国际贸易促进经济增长的内在机制。

AN ANALYSIS ON THE INFLUENCE OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE FOR ECONOMIC GROWTH: THEORY AND EVIDENCES OF EMPIRICAL MODEL

The international trade theory seeks to explain why international trade takes place and explores the distribution of gains from trade among countries. And there is a close connection between international trade and economic growth. Both theoretical analysis and empirical evidences show that one country's foreign trade volume plays an important role in its economic growth and the change of the country's foreign trade is often the key factor determining its economic growth trend. This paper,providing empirical tests of the relation between foreign trade and economic growth in China during the last ten years, based on the theory and empirical model, aims to examine and reveal the inner mechanism of promotion of the economic growth by the foreign trade.