区域可持续发展监测的方法学研究

对近年来国内外有关区域可持续发展监测的进展做了调研和分析,并选取宁波、广州、苏州、扬州以及三明和烟台等城市展开案例研究。从经济学、生态学、社会政治学和综合评价等出发讨论了4种监测方法,系统地提出了指标综合评价方法的基本步骤:指标的筛选、指标和数据的评估、指标体系的建立、数据的处理方法以及最终报告的撰写与发布,并介绍了研究中区域数据库的建立与评估软件的开发。案例研究的结果表明:资源损耗、环境损失、人均GDP是影响区域可持续发展的核心因子。对上述因子的定量核算,从多学科角度来综合评估监测区域可持续发展是必要的。

METHODOLOGY STUDY ON MONITORING REGIONAL SUSTAINABILITY

Basing on the review and analysis of the study progress in regional sustainability monitoring,research team made case study in Ningbo, Guangzhou, Suzhou, Yangzhou, Sanming and Yantai. This paper discusses the methodology on regional sustainability measurement from four methods of economics, ecology, social-politics and comprehensive assessment, and systematically proposes the essential processes of methods of comprehensive assessment as follow: indicator screening, estimation of indicators and data, building of indicators framework, methods of data processing and the compilation and issuance of the final report. Then it introduces the development of database and professional software especially for urban sustainability assessment in our study. From our new multidisciplinary methodology, the integrated analysis was carried out according to the results in case cities, and found some key factors closely related to China regional sustainability, such as depletion of natural resources, cost of environmental pollution and GDP per capita, and so on. The conclusions show that it is important and necessary to quantify the primary factors above of regional sustainability and synthetically monitor it from multidisciplinary methodology.