我国蔬菜播种面积的影响因素分析

研究目的是探究我国蔬菜播种面积的主要经济因素和作用机理。从蔬菜供给的微观主体—农户的角度,运用面板数据计量模型分析1994—2007年间我国蔬菜主产省的蔬菜播种面积的影响因素。研究发现,蔬菜种植户的蔬菜播种面积决策受蔬菜和其他替代农作物生产的相对比较收益、该地区非农就业水平的较大变化和以往农户蔬菜生产决策的影响。基于研究结论表明由于农民种植决策的选择是一个长期的周期过程以及以往决策的滞后影响,任何政策措施的制定和实施必须考虑其带来的长期效果,而不能过分关注当前的短期效果。

THE ANALYSIS OF INFLUENCING FACTORS OF VEGETABLES' SOWN AREA IN CHINA

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the economic influencing factors and mechanism of vegetables sown areas in China.The paper takes the farmer households as object and employs the panel data to study the influencing factors of vegetables sown areas in the main vegetable production provinces of China for the period 1994-2007.The results show that the vegetables sown areas are significant positively influenced by the relative comparative revenues between vegetable and other crops,a great change of non-fa...