绵阳科技城的工业经济发展

绵阳是建设之中的中国西部科技城,研究绵阳工业经济发展有益于科技城建设。运用偏离—份额分析法对绵阳1999—2003年的30个工业行业的经济资料进行分析,结果表明:结构效果指数为1.3019,以电子及通信设备制造为主的工业结构特征突出,区域工业结构效果较为显著,增长效果指数为0.8288,区域工业经济的整体增长效果不理想,竞争力指数为0.6366,区域工业经济缺乏竞争优势。支柱工业的技术非前沿性、企业之间缺乏协作、片面追求工业结构多样化、大企业的产品结构多样化滞后和出口依存度较低是影响绵阳工业经济发展主要因素。最后讨论了绵阳科技城工业经济规模扩张和竞争力提升的建议。

STUDY ON THE INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT IN MIANYANG SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY CITY

The study on the industrial development was beneficial to Mianyang Science and Technology City being built in Western China in order to understand the situations and direction.The purpose of this paper was to analyze the development of its industrial economy based on the data of 30 industrial items from 1999 to 2003 by Shift-share method(SSM).The result was showed that the structure effect index was 1.3019,characterized by the telecommunication's equipment and manufacture,the increase effect index 0.8288,and the competitive ability index 0.6366 because of the poor economical increase effect and poor economical competitive ability in Mianyang in the past.It was explained that the result was likely related to the big industrial mix effect and the big national growth effect and the small shift share effect of the telecommunication's equipment in the first place of industrial production value,and the small national growth effect of the rest industries except the telecommunication's equipment industry.And the main factors influencing the industrial development were due to the non-frontier technology of the pillar industry,lack of cooperation among enterprises,unilateral emphases on the various industrial structures in Mianyang city,lag of diverse production in the large corporation and light dependence on export.Hence,it was further discussed how to expand and improve the industrial scale of Mianyang as a Science and Technology City in Western China in the future.