2000—2005年我国省际经济增长差异及其因素分解

以经合组织(OECD)分析区域经济增长的方法为基础,测算了2000-2005年中国大陆31个省级行政单位GDP的变化,并分解为资本效率、人均资本、专业化、就业率、活跃人口等几因子.比较了各省区经济增长的差异及原因,并且进行了归类.结果显示,对所有省份而言,人均资本的增加是CDP增长的最重要推动因素,资本效率下降是重要的障碍;专业化具有明显的省际差异;就业率、活跃人口在多数省份为正面的影响,然而影响较小.

AN ANALYSIS OF REGIONAL DISPARITIES IN CHINA MAINLAND AT PROVINCIAL LEVEL BETWEEN 2000-2005

Based on the methodology provided by OECD(Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development),we analyze regional disparities in China Mainland at provincial level between 2000 and 2005.It regards regional GDP growth as the joint result of contribution of a number of factors,i.e.capital productivity,capital per manpower,specialization,employment rate,active population,and population.The results show that for all provincial units,capital per manpower is a dominant contributing factor to the growth of GDP per capita in the period from 2000 to 2005 while capital productivity has quite significant negative impacts.Specialization contributes differently to different provinces.In most provincial units,employment rate and age activity have a positive impact on growth of GDP per capita,though not very significantly.