| 国际贸易冲击与中国经济的周期波动 |
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| 引用本文： | 杜婷,庞东.国际贸易冲击与中国经济的周期波动[J].经济经纬,2006,108(5):43-46. |
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| 作者姓名： | 杜婷 庞东 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 深圳大学,经济学院,广东,深圳,518060
2. 招商银行博士后工作站,广东,深圳,518040 |
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| 摘 要： | 国际经济波动对我国经济周期的影响主要是通过国际贸易渠道实现的,本文在对我国对外贸易波动的特征及与经济周期相关性分析的基础之上,通过国际贸易乘数效应具体分析了国际贸易冲击对经济周期波动的影响,其结论表明国际贸易冲击对我国的经济周期波动产生重要的作用和影响,出口每波动1%,会引发GDP波动0.25个百分点左右,随着我国对外贸易的快速增长,贸易波动对宏观经济的影响会进一步增加。
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| 关 键 词： | 国际贸易 经济周期 贸易乘数 |
| 文章编号： | 1006-1096（2006）05-0043-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-03-10 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年3月10日 |
The Impact of International Trade and the Cyclic Fluctuation of Chinese Economy |
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| DU Ting,PANG Dong.The Impact of International Trade and the Cyclic Fluctuation of Chinese Economy[J].Economic Survey,2006,108(5):43-46. |
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| Authors: | DU Ting PANG Dong |
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| Institution: | 1. School of Economics, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen 518060, China ; 2. Working Station for Post - doctors, China Merchants Bank, Shenzhen 518040, China |
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| Abstract: | International economic fluctuation affects the economic cycle of our country mainly through international trade.On the basis of an analysis of the characteristics of the external trade fluctuation of our country and its relation with economic cycle,through multiplier effect of international trade,the author analyzes the effect of international trade on the cyclic fluctuation of economy.The conclusion shows the function and influence of international trade on the economic cyclic fluctuation of our country.When export fluctuates 1%,GDP will fluctuate 0.25%.With the rapid growth of the external trade of our country,trade fluctuation will have further effect on macro economy. |
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| Keywords: | international trade economic cycle trade multiplier |
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