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中国对外贸易对经济增长作用的实证分析
引用本文:郭友群,周国霞.中国对外贸易对经济增长作用的实证分析[J].经济经纬,2006(2):42-45.
作者姓名:郭友群  周国霞
作者单位:广东外语外贸大学,经贸学院,广东,广州,510420
摘    要:采用协整检验和格兰杰因果检验的方法,分析了中国对外贸易与经济增长之间的关系。研究表明,对外贸易与经济增长存在长期的稳定关系,且进口的产出弹性相对较大,出口与经济增长之间存在单项的因果关系。因此,中国经济增长还是处于出口导向型的经济增长,同时在加大出口的同时,要重视进口的作用。

关 键 词:对外贸易  经济增长  协整  格兰杰因果
文章编号:1006-1096(2006)02-0042-04
收稿时间:2005-10-15
修稿时间:2005年10月15

An Empirical Analysis on the Effect of External Trade on Economic Growth in China
GUO You-qun,ZHOU Guo-xia.An Empirical Analysis on the Effect of External Trade on Economic Growth in China[J].Economic Survey,2006(2):42-45.
Authors:GUO You-qun  ZHOU Guo-xia
Abstract:The relationship between external trade and economic growth in China is analyzed by applying co - integration analytical tools and Granger causality. The conclusion indicates that the relationship between external trade and economic growth remains steady for a long time, the output elasticity of import trade is bigger, and there is a uni -direction causality between export and economic growth. E-conomic growth in China is still an export - oriented growth, so the export trade must be strengthened and at the same time the role of import trade should be emphasized.
Keywords:external trade  economic growth  co - integration  Granger Causality
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