产业结构变动与区域林业经济增长及其空间差异

该文采用多部门经济模型中基于统计角度的GDP产业结构贡献度测算方法与林业统计年鉴相关历史数据,计算得出了1997～2006年间全国26个省、市、区历年林业产业结构变动对林业经济增长的贡献值(R)。在此基础之上,分析了R值的省际差异与各年的离散程度,计算了10年间产业结构变动对林业经济增长率的平均贡献率(M),同样对M值也进行了相应的空间差异分析。论文的最后部分得出了3个重要的结论并进行了讨论。

INDUSTRY STRUCTURE CHANGE, REGIONAL FORESTRY ECONOMIC INCREASE AND ITS SPACIAL DIFFERENCES

This paper adopts measuring method for GDP industry structure contribution degree based on statistical point of view from economic models of multi-departments and historical data related with forestry statistical yearbook,calculates the contribution value(R)made by every year's forest industry structure changes to forest economic increase during 1997-2006 in 26 provinces,cities and autonomous regions.On this basis,it analyzes the differences of R value between provinces with each year's disperse degree,calculates the average contribution rate(M)made by industry structure changes during 10 years to forest industry economic increase rate.It also carries out relevant special difference analysis on M value.At last,the paper gains 3 important conclusions and conducts discussion on them.