山西土地资源人口承载力动态研究

随着人口增长、经济发展和城镇化进程的加速,山西省人增地减的矛盾日趋突出。该文分析了山西土地资源的变化趋势,利用相关统计模型计算了山西省土地资源绝对承载力与相对承载容量,明确指出随着经济的快速发展,山西经济人口容量必将高于自然人口容量。因此,山西只有大力发展经济、控制人口数量才能从根本上提高土地资源的人口的承载力。

STUDIES ON POPULATION BEARING DYNAMIC OF LAND RESOURCES IN SHANXI PROVINCE

Along with the population increase,economy development and progress of township converting,the conflicts between population increase and arable land decrease pops out daily.This paper analyzes the changing trend of land resources in Shanxi Province,calculates the absolute bearing ability of land resources in Shanxi and the relative bearing ability by using correlated statistic model,and then points out that in Shanxi Province the economic population capacity will be higher than the nature population capacity,along with the rapid economic development.Therefore,Shanxi Province has to vigorously develop economy,control the population,so as to radically improve the population bearing ability of land resources.