| 中国-东盟自贸区二周年的比较研究——基于出口相似度与显性比较优势的分析 |
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| 作者姓名： | 方文超 马怀礼 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 奥斯陆大学经济系,挪威奥斯陆0815 安徽大学经济学院,安徽合肥230039
2. 安徽大学经济学院,安徽合肥,230039 |
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| 基金项目： | 全球化背景下产业集群经济分析(The Economic Analysis of“Industrial Clusters”under Globalization),项目批号:22051/F11/ana,由挪威科研理事会(The Research Council of Norway)立项资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章通过对中国与东盟4国出口相似度指数与显性比较优势指数进行测算,实证分析了中国-东盟自贸区的贸易现状;据此指出,中国与东盟之间贸易竞争仍比较激烈,存在产生"合成谬误"的可能性,但长期趋势分析表明其可能性越来越小;最后,文章得出结论并给出政策建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 出口相似度 显性比较优势 中国-东盟自贸区 |
A Comparative Study on Effects of the Second China-ASEAN FTA Anniversary ——An Inspection on the Indexes of Export Similarity and RCA |
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| Authors: | FANG Wen-chao MA Huai-li |
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| Institution: | 1. Department of Economics,University of Oslo,Oslo 0815,Norway; 2. College of Economics,Anhui University,Hefei 230039,China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper seeks to explain the present trade condition of China-ASEAN FTA. I use the index of Export Similarity and RCA to inspect to what degree the competition will cause the "Fallacy of Composition" between China and ASEAN,I more-over find that the possibility is getting smaller from the long-term reported estimates. I conclude the results and provide some policy advice. |
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| Keywords: | export similarity revealed comparative advantage China-ASEAN FTA |
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