重大水利工程项目决策社会稳定风险评估中公众参与成熟度的影响路径

重大水利工程项目决策社会稳定风险评估中,公众是重要的参与主体,个体间生活环境、知识背景及心理素质的差异性会直接影响稳评结果。公众参与成熟度是公众参与的衡量要素,由能力成熟度和心理成熟度两个方面构成。从能力与心理两个角度设计调查问卷,运用结构方程模型,探究内部影响路径。结果表明,公众参与心理成熟度直接影响能力成熟度,而能力成熟度又通过参与意愿影响着心理成熟度,两者间存在相互影响的关系。政府可以通过开展道德素质教育,改善公众参与动机,以提高公众参与心理成熟度及能力成熟度,最终整体提高公众参与成熟度,保证稳评工作的质量,提升重大水利工程项目决策科学性。

Influence path of public participation maturity in evaluation of social stability risks in decision-making of large-scale hydraulic projects

In the evaluation of social stability risks of large-scale hydraulic projects, the public is an important participant, and the differences in living environment, knowledge background and psychological quality between individuals will directly affect the evaluation results. The public participation maturity is a measure element for the public participation. It consists of two aspects: capability maturity and psychological maturity. Therefore, the questionnaire is designed from the two angles of capability and psychological maturity, and the internal influence paths are explored by using the structural equation model. The results show that the public participation in the psychological maturity has a direct effect on the capability maturity, while the capability maturity affects the psychological maturity through the participation willingness. There is an interaction between them. The government can conduct moral quality education and improve the public participation motivation in order to enhance the public participation in the psychological and capability maturity. Finally, the overall public participation maturity is improved and the quality of evaluating the social stability risks is ensured so as to improve the scientific decision-making of large-scale hydraulic projects.