鸦片战争前的全国生丝产量和近代生丝出口增加对中国近代蚕桑业扩张的影响

为了对19世纪下半叶生丝出口增加对中国近代蚕桑业扩张的影响有一个度的测量,本研究对鸦片战争前的全国生丝产量进行估算。论文认为鸦片战争前的中国生丝产量大约为110000担;出口量约占全国生丝产量的10%。从19世纪上半叶到1929年中国生丝出口增加了20多倍,丝织品出口增加了大约10倍。出口增加总量220000来担,是1840年前全国生丝产量的两倍。在这一期间,全国生丝产量增加了约2.7倍,蚕桑生产规模约3.5倍,国内丝绸消费则下降了约20%。论文认为近代生丝出口增加是中国近代蚕桑生产大规模扩张的主要推动力,而且吸收了因蚕桑业扩张所带来的所有产量的增加。

Estimate of National Raw Silk Output prior to the Opium War and the Effect of Rising Silk Exports on Chinese Sericultural Expansion

Chinese raw silk exports increased about twenty- fold from the 1840s to the 1920s, and ex- ports of silk fabrics increased about ten- fold. The research estimates Chinese national raw silk output prior to the Opium War in order to provide a quantitative assessment of the effect that increasing Chinese raw silk ex- ports had on the expansion of Chinese sericultural production in the second half of the 19th century and the first two decades of the 20th. The study indicates that national raw silk output prior ...