Impact of the Fast Track Land Reform Programme (FTLRP) on agricultural production: A tobacco success story in Zimbabwe? |
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| Institution: | 1. University of Belgrade, Faculty of Agriculture, Belgrade, Serbia;2. University of Sarajevo, Faculty of Agriculture and Food Science, Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina;3. University St. Kliment Ohridski – Bitola, Scientific Tobacco Institute – Prilep, Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia The;1. Department of Natural Resources, Bindura University of Science Education, P. Bag 1020, Bindura, Zimbabwe;2. Department of Agricultural Economics, Education and Extension, Bindura University of Science Education, P. Bag 1020, Bindura, Zimbabwe;3. Department of Crop Science, Bindura University of Science Education, P. Bag 1020, Bindura, Zimbabwe;1. Watershed Management and Water and Soil Efficiency Research Department, Tehran Research and Education Center of Agriculture and Natural Resources, AREEO, Tehran, Iran;2. FRWO of Iran, Iran;1. Department of Soil Science and Agricultural Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Zimbabwe, P.O. Box 167, Mt Pleasant, Harare, Zimbabwe;2. Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Zimbabwe, P.O. Box 167, Mt Pleasant, Harare, Zimbabwe |
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| Abstract: | The study ascertained the impact of the Fast Track Land Reform Programme (FTLRP) in Zimbabwe on tobacco production. The Chow Test, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and the Vector Error Granger-Causality Test were applied. The results reveal that there was a structural break in tobacco sales in the year 2000. Furthermore, in the long-run, area under tobacco production had a positive impact whilst number of tobacco producers had a negative impact on tobacco sold pre-FTLRP. Post-FTLRP, area of tobacco and number of tobacco producers had negative impact. In addition, the FTLRP induced an 8.94 % increase in the speed of adjustment in correcting the long-run equilibrium in tobacco sales. In the short-run, the FTLRP caused a percentage increase in the area of tobacco production and number of tobacco producers to induce a 0.65 % and 0.76 % increase in the tobacco sales, respectively. Area of tobacco production and number of tobacco producers Granger-caused tobacco sales in the pre-FTLRP period. Post-FTLRP, the number of tobacco growers Granger-caused tobacco sales. It is concluded that the FTLRP had an impact on tobacco sales, mainly through the number of tobacco growers. The study recommends the specialisation and training of the new farmers to improve productivity. |
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| Keywords: | Chow Test Land reform Tobacco Vector Error Correction Zimbabwe |
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