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我国现代农业生产的碳排放变动趋势研究
引用本文:冉光和,王建洪,王定祥.我国现代农业生产的碳排放变动趋势研究[J].农业经济问题,2011(2):32-38.
作者姓名:冉光和  王建洪  王定祥
作者单位:重庆大学经济与管理学院;西南大学经济与管理学院;
基金项目:冉光和主持的国家社科基金重点项目“基于交易成本视角的农村金融资源开发机理与风险控制研究”(编号:08AJY030); 王建洪主持的国家社科基金一般项目“农村公共产品流通机制研究”(编号:10BJY060)的成果
摘    要:现代农业生产中的碳排放是引起全社会高度关注的重大课题.本文构建了一个基于农户行为的碳排放评价体系和模型,测定和预测了我国现代农业生产中的碳排放变动水平与趋势.结果表明,改革开放以来我国农业生产碳排放以平均每年5%的速度持续增长,由于各因素变化率VAR检测值的分化,未来农业碳排放增长率表现为进一步升高的趋势.

关 键 词:现代农业  碳排放  变动趋势  对策建议

Study on the Changing Tendency and Counter-measures of Carbon Emission Produced by Agricultural Production in China
RAN Guanghe,WANG Jianhong , WANG Dingxiang.Study on the Changing Tendency and Counter-measures of Carbon Emission Produced by Agricultural Production in China[J].Problems of Agricultural Economy,2011(2):32-38.
Authors:RAN Guanghe  WANG Jianhong  WANG Dingxiang
Institution:RAN Guanghe,WANG Jianhong and WANG Dingxiang
Abstract:How to keep the lower carbon emission during the course of modern agricultural production is a key point to our whole society.In this paper,based on an evaluating system about farmer economic behavior and a model of carbon emission,the authors test and forecast the level of fluctuation and tendency of carbon emission produced by modern agriculture in China.The research shows that the average rate of increase is about 5% in our country every year since reformation.It's highly important that this kind of incr...
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