基于灰色系统理论的湖南林业产业结构预测研究

本研究应用灰色系统理论,根据相关统计资料,通过建立GM(1,1)预测模型,对湖南省林业总产值及其林业产业内部第一、二、三产业产值的变化趋势进行了预测和分析。结果表明,在未来几年中,湖南省林业第一产业产值将保持稳定增长,林业第二产业将保持快速增长,林业第三产业将保持较快增长。

Based on the Theory of the Gray System Theory Prediction of Industrial Structure Hunan Forestry

This paper using the gray system theory,in accordance with relevant statistics,through the establishment of GM(1,1)prediction model,the Hunan provincial forestry and the forestry industry output value within the first,second and tertiary industries,changes in the value of prediction and trend analysis.The results show that in the next few years,Hunan forestry output value of the primary industry will maintain stable growth,and the second forestry industry will maintain rapid growth,the third forestry industry will maintain rapid growth.