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中国南方木材市场整合程度与价格传导机制研究
引用本文:陈思莹,杨超,林洁,黄和亮.中国南方木材市场整合程度与价格传导机制研究[J].林业经济问题,2016(3):262-267.
作者姓名:陈思莹  杨超  林洁  黄和亮
作者单位:1. 福建农林大学 经济学院,福州,350002;2. 北京林业大学 经济管理学院,北京,100083
摘    要:运用协整检验、格兰杰检验及市场综合联系指数方法对中国南方10省市2002~2014年12年间的木材市场整合程度与传导机制进行研究。结果表明:南方木材市场⑴具有长期整合趋势,但短期内由于某些因素的影响而阻碍了市场整合;⑵不存在严格的"价格变化中心";⑶价格影响机制以非对称传导为主。

关 键 词:木材市场  市场整合  价格传导  市场联系指数

Market Integration Evaluation and Price Transmission Mechanism of China’s Wood-Market of 10 Southern Provinces
Institution:,School of Economics,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,School of Economics and Management,Beijing Forestry University
Abstract:This paper aims to evaluate the integration degree and the price transmission mechanism of inter-provincial wood-markets. In this paper, co-integration test, Granger causality test and TMC ap-proach were used. The data were 2002-2014 and 10 southern Chinese provinces were included. The results showed that ⑴market integration was at a low level in short run, ⑵the central effect in price was non-significant, ⑶ the price transmission mechanism was asymmetric and unidirectional.
Keywords:wood-market  market integration  price transmission  TMC
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