彰武县林业产业结构分析

以辽宁省彰武县2006～2012年林业产值统计数据来分析林业产业结构的变动情况。运用灰色关联度分析方法计算出彰武县5个不同时间段林业产业结构的灰色关联度,分析彰武县林业产业结构现状和动态变化,找出三次产业及其产业内部的优势、劣势因素,并应用灰色预测模型GM(1,1)对彰武县2013～2017年林业产值进行发展趋势预测。研究结果表明:彰武县林业总产值与第二产业的关联度最大,与第三产业关联度最弱;在各产业内部,第一产业与花卉的关联度最大,第二产业与人造板制造关联度最大,第三产业与林业公共管理及其他组织服务的关联度最大;未来五年,彰武县林业第二产业将快速发展,第一产业发展缓慢,第三产业发展滞后。

Analysis of Forestry Industrial Structure of Zhangwu County

Using the data from 2006 to 2012 Zhangwu County forestry output value as statistics,Analysis of changes in the structure of the forestry industry. Using of grey correlation analysis method to calculate the forestry industry structure gray correlation,Analysis Zhangwu County forestry industrial structure status and dynamic change,identifying three industries and industry internal strengths and weaknesses factors,application of gray prediction model GM( 1,1) to predict 2013 to 2017 Zhangwu County forestry output value. Studies have shown that: Zhangwu County forestry output value of the maximum of correlation is the second industry,and the third industry correlation is the weakest.Within various industries,the first industry correlation maximum is flower industry,the second industry is man-made board manufacturing industry,the third industry is forestry management and other public service organizations. In the next five years,the second forestry industry will be rapid development,the first industry develops slowly,the third industry develops lag.