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房地产市场泡沫测度:珠三角实证
引用本文:中国人民银行佛山市中心支行课题组,彭化非.房地产市场泡沫测度:珠三角实证[J].南方金融,2009(10).
作者姓名:中国人民银行佛山市中心支行课题组  彭化非
作者单位:中国人民银行佛山市中心支行,广东,佛山,528000
摘    要:准确测度一国或地区的房地产市场泡沫水平和投机程度,是正确认识和有效解决房地产市场相关问题的基础.2008年,我国房地产市场价格在持续快速上涨后出现一定程度的回落,在市场的波动中如何准确测算其泡沫程度值得关注.目前对于房地产泡沫的测度方法不一,本文综合采用多种方法测算珠三角房地产市场泡沫,力求全面准确反映房地产市场真实的泡沫程度和房价合理度.结论显示:珠三角各地市房地产市场都存在不同程度的泡沫,当前的房价不尽合理,首付款和还贷压力均成为抑制市场需求的瓶颈.

关 键 词:房价  房地产泡沫  房地产市场  珠三角

Measurement of Real Estate Market Bubbles:An Empirical Study of Pearl River Delta
Research Group of Foshan Central Sub-branch of PBC.Measurement of Real Estate Market Bubbles:An Empirical Study of Pearl River Delta[J].South China Finance,2009(10).
Authors:Research Group of Foshan Central Sub-branch of PBC
Institution:Research Group of Foshan Central Sub-branch of PBC(Foshan Central Sub-branch of PBC,Foshan,528000 China)
Abstract:How to have a correct understanding and to solve relative problems effectively on real estate market is based on the accurate measurement of a country or region's real estate market bubble level and speculative degree.In 2008,housing price experienced sustainable and rapid growth and then a rational cooling.The focus is then fallen on how to accurately measure the extent of bubble during the market fluctuation.At the present,there are a variety of methods used to measure the real estate bubble.This paper wi...
Keywords:Housing Price  Real Estate Bubble  Real Estate Market  Pearl River Delta  
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